Supreme Court’s remaining rulings could deliver mixed results for Trump

Jan Crawford, CBS News’ chief legal correspondent, says the Supreme Court’s remaining decisions are likely to be a “mixed bag” for Donald Trump as the 2025-26 term moves into its final weeks, with opinions expected by the end of June or early July. The court has already struck down Trump’s sweeping tariffs and weakened the Voting Rights Act, and the unresolved cases could still reshape immigration policy, presidential power and the rules heading into the 2026 elections.

The biggest test is Trump v. Barbara, the challenge to Executive Order No. 14,160, which Trump signed on his first day back in the White House. The case asks whether the order violates the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause and 8 U.S.C. § 1401(a). A Trump win would give the administration a direct path toward ending automatic citizenship for children born in the United States to parents here illegally or temporarily. A loss would leave birthright citizenship intact. A partial victory would be a narrower ruling that does not settle the constitutional question but still gives Trump room to keep pressing the issue nationally. Trump’s presence at oral argument on April 1, 2026, and his social media prediction that the court would “probably rule against me,” showed how personally invested he is in the case.

Other pending decisions go straight to the scope of executive power. Reuters reported that the remaining Trump-related cases include the fight over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, efforts to oust Democratic members of independent agencies and the administration’s attempt to end humanitarian protections for hundreds of thousands of Syrian and Haitian immigrants facing deportation. A win in those cases would expand the president’s leverage over independent institutions and immigration enforcement. A loss would preserve the limits that have kept the Federal Reserve and other agencies partially insulated from White House control. A partial victory would matter too, because even a split ruling could give Trump authority in one arena while leaving other restraints in place.

The political stakes reach beyond Trump’s agenda. CBS News said 27 states have enacted laws banning transgender athletes from girls’ and women’s sports, and the pending cases from West Virginia and Idaho could affect similar bans in more than half the states. A ruling upholding those laws would fortify a major conservative policy line. A ruling against them would cut into a states’ rights fight that has become central to Republican campaigns.

Election-law cases could prove just as consequential. The Congressional Research Service says rulings on mail-in ballots cast by Election Day but received afterward could affect the 2026 congressional elections or future federal contests. With a 6-3 conservative majority that includes three justices appointed by Trump, the court still has several ways to give him wins. But the remaining opinions could also leave him with sharp losses on the issues that define his push to expand presidential power.