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NIO CEO says China auto industry unlikely to regain boom years

NIO’s William Li said China’s car market has passed its boom years, as April passenger car sales fell 21.6% and the EV race shifted toward margins, scale and survival.

Sarah Chen··2 min read
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NIO CEO says China auto industry unlikely to regain boom years
Source: reuters.com

China’s growth-at-all-costs auto boom is giving way to a harsher market, and NIO chief executive William Li said the old playbook is unlikely to return. Speaking at the launch of NIO’s new ES9 flagship SUV in Beijing, Li said China’s auto market has likely moved past its “golden era” and is now saturated, with about 370 million vehicles already on the road.

The warning lands at a difficult moment for the country’s carmakers. Domestic passenger car sales fell for a seventh straight month in April, dropping 21.6% from a year earlier to 1.4 million units, according to China Passenger Car Association data cited in Reuters coverage. Exports remained strong, underscoring how Chinese automakers are leaning on overseas demand to offset weaker home-market growth. Industry data also points to a more sober 2026, with domestic sales expected to stagnate and growth in electric and plug-in hybrid models slowing after years of rapid expansion.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated illustration

Li said NIO still sees China as the most efficient place to invest in pure electric vehicles, but the company’s own international footprint remains small. NIO began its overseas push in Norway in 2021, launching the ES8 and opening its first NIO House in Oslo, yet Li said shipments abroad have stayed negligible. That makes China the center of gravity for NIO’s strategy, even as it keeps a limited presence outside the country.

The pressure is not only on demand. Li said NIO plans to increase spending on computing resources for smart-driving development fivefold this year compared with 2025, a sign of how costly the race for driver-assistance technology has become. In China’s premium EV segment, where price cuts have been relentless, success is increasingly tied to software, scale and cost control rather than brand hype alone.

NIO — Wikimedia Commons
Navigator84 via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

NIO is trying to defend that position with new product launches and heavy marketing. The ES9 officially launched in Beijing on May 27 and was priced from 498,000 yuan including the battery pack, below its pre-sales price. The company also named basketball icon Yao Ming as an ES9 brand representative, a high-profile move meant to sharpen its appeal among premium buyers.

April Growth Rates
Data visualization chart

Even so, NIO’s latest delivery numbers show the company is still growing. It delivered 29,356 vehicles in April, up 22.8% from a year earlier, bringing year-to-date deliveries through April 30 to 112,821, up 71.0%. NIO said the all-new ES8 reached 100,000 cumulative deliveries in 215 days on April 23, a record for premium passenger vehicles priced above 400,000 yuan in China. The broader message from Li was clear: China’s EV market is not disappearing, but the easy phase is over.

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