Analysis

DRF Playbook Highlights 14 Races Across Major Tracks for March 20

DRF Playbook spotlights 14 races on March 20, with Mike Beer, Scott Ehlers, and Mary Rampellini flagging live longshots and a 20-1 speed play at Tampa Bay Downs.

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DRF Playbook Highlights 14 Races Across Major Tracks for March 20
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The Daily Racing Form's free Playbook identified 14 races worth watching across six major U.S. tracks on Friday, March 20, 2026, with DRF handicappers Mike Beer, Scott Ehlers, Mary Rampellini, and Kenny Peck sharing plays and best bets spanning Gulfstream Park, Aqueduct, Santa Anita, Tampa Bay Downs, Oaklawn Park, and Fair Grounds. The Playbook is designed as a daily reference point for both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers, and Friday's edition delivered a compact card of picks with specific pace angles, pedigree flags, and class-change narratives to work through.

Only five of the 14 highlighted races were detailed in the available source material, with the remaining nine entries not yet confirmed for publication. What follows covers each documented race in full.

Oaklawn Park, 4th Race (3:11 ET): AWOL

The afternoon's first flagged race posts at Oaklawn, where Mary Rampellini points to AWOL, program number 3 at 7-2 morning line. Rampellini's assessment is straightforward and built on form: "AWOL is an honest sort who owns a competitive series of Beyer Speed Figures." That consistency across Beyer figures is precisely the kind of repeatable profile handicappers prize when measuring an overlay in a mid-card spot. At 7-2, AWOL is neither a chalk play nor a long-odds flier, and Rampellini's framing suggests a horse whose numbers warrant respect regardless of how the public prices the ticket.

Aqueduct, 5th Race (3:22 ET): SARATOGA SUNSET

Eleven minutes later at Aqueduct, Mike Beer elevates SARATOGA SUNSET, program number 2 at 9-2, to the Playbook's most distinguished designation. SARATOGA SUNSET is a DRF Best Bet, the label Beer and his colleagues reserve for their highest-confidence selections of the day. The Best Bet designation carries weight in the DRF ecosystem precisely because it signals the handicapper has elevated this horse above the standard play category. At 9-2, a winning ticket represents a meaningful return for a selection carrying that level of confidence.

Tampa Bay Downs, 7th Race (3:43 ET): KISS ME FOR LUCK

The most analytically layered entry in Friday's documented Playbook belongs to Kenny Peck, writing for Horse Racing On SI, who flags KISS ME FOR LUCK in the 7th at Tampa Bay Downs. She goes as program number 9 at 20-1 morning line, making her the biggest price among the five detailed selections.

Peck's case centers on a nuanced reading of her recent form: "KISS ME FOR LUCK has high speed, as she showed in that loss for this tag two back, an effort that stamps her as a threat as she returns to that same level; she faded badly in her latest but that was a pace-paced race where the stone closers held the edge, and she was caught too close to the early pace there (note the inverted 'C' symbol in DRF pp's)." The inverted "C" notation in her DRF past performances is explicitly flagged by Peck as relevant context for evaluating that troubled latest effort. The setup here is a classic speed horse returning to a familiar level after a compromised effort, with the pace scenario likely to suit her better this time. At 20-1, even a partial share of the exotics built around her could prove profitable if the pace unfolds as Peck anticipates.

Aqueduct, 6th Race (3:54 ET): DIXIE HEX

Back at Aqueduct for the 6th race, Mike Beer makes his second appearance in the Playbook with DIXIE HEX, program number 6 at 5-1. This is a first-out horse, and Beer makes the case deliberately: "DIXIE HEX appears to have landed in a good-looking spot as the lone firster in this field, as he has some pedigree behind him as a Good Magic half to multiple Grade 3 winner, and multiple Grade 1-placed, Tommy Macho; just blew out a bullet from the gate for capable first-out trainer Handal."

The pedigree is substantive. Being a half-brother to Tommy Macho, a multiple Grade 3 winner and multiple Grade 1-placed horse, provides a blue-chip bloodline reference point. The workout indicator is equally compelling: a bullet from the gate under trainer Handal, whom Beer characterizes as "capable" specifically with first-out runners. Gate bullets and a respected debut trainer are two of the clearest pre-race signals available for an unraced horse, and Beer's framing suggests DIXIE HEX belongs on the short list of defensible debut plays on the card.

Gulfstream Park, 8th Race (4:37 ET): AERIALIST

The latest post time among the documented entries brings AERIALIST to Gulfstream's 8th race. Scott Ehlers makes the case for this filly at 6-1 as program number 4, working through a multi-layered form read: "AERIALIST didn't do much off the layoff but wasn't terrible either. She found herself on the rail previously and was content to chase but found trouble. She gets a pair of speed balls to heat up the pace and puts three races together. The class drop into restricted claimers could help also."

Ehlers' analysis layers three distinct factors. First, her layoff return was acceptable rather than impressive, setting manageable expectations. Second, the projected pace scenario changes favorably: two speed horses expected to press hard up front will create a more honest tempo, which suits a horse who was compromised by traffic and trouble when forced to chase on the rail. Third, and perhaps most practically, the drop into restricted claimers lowers the competitive ceiling she needs to clear. Three starts off the layoff, with improving trip context and a class relief, builds a credible case for improvement at a price that still offers value.

The Playbook Framework

The five entries above represent the documented selections from a Playbook that DRF describes as spanning 14 total races across Gulfstream, Aqueduct, Santa Anita, Tampa Bay Downs, Oaklawn, and Fair Grounds. Santa Anita and Fair Grounds are confirmed as part of the full 14-race slate but were not represented in the available detailed entries. The nine undocumented selections from the complete Playbook list are not confirmed in the source material reviewed for this report.

The DRF Playbook operates as a free daily product, with the publication framing it as something "hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day's action." Friday's documented entries reflect a range of approaches: a consistency-based even-money contender in AWOL, a top-confidence Best Bet in SARATOGA SUNSET, a 20-1 pace angle in KISS ME FOR LUCK, a pedigree-and-workout debut play in DIXIE HEX, and a class-drop-with-improving-scenario case in AERIALIST. That spread, from 7-2 to 20-1, from debut horse to layoff returner, illustrates the variety of angles DRF handicappers bring to a single Friday card.

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