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Goldman Sachs sees stocks rallying to new highs in 2026

Goldman’s stock hit a record as its research desk raised the S&P 500 target to 8,000, sharpening bonus hopes and the pressure to keep outperforming.

Lauren Xu··2 min read
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Goldman Sachs sees stocks rallying to new highs in 2026
Source: tokenist.com

Goldman Sachs is getting to sell a market story it can see in its own stock. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. hit an all-time high of $1,098.36 on June 5, and Bank of America and ASML also pushed to fresh highs during a rally that had already sent the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record closes on June 2.

The bigger signal inside Goldman is not just that stocks are higher, but that the firm’s own research team has been publicly calling for more upside. On April 24, Goldman Sachs Research said U.S. stocks were expected to hit fresh record highs in 2026 and set a year-end S&P 500 target of 7,600, based on 12% earnings-per-share growth in 2026 and 10% growth in 2027. Goldman later lifted that target to 8,000 and projected S&P 500 earnings per share of $340 in 2026.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated illustration

That upgrade matters on the floor. When the bank’s market call keeps getting more aggressive and its own shares are printing records, the message to analysts, associates and VPs is that the performance narrative has to keep up. The mood turns less about whether the cycle is intact and more about whether Goldman can keep justifying the premium in bonuses, promotions and recruiting pitches that rely on the firm being seen as one of the few places where talent still translates into outsize pay and faster trajectory.

Goldman’s latest view also points to where the money is supposed to come from. The firm said AI infrastructure investment would account for about half of S&P 500 earnings growth in 2026, while Goldman Sachs Research forecast 2.8% global growth and 2.6% U.S. growth, both ahead of consensus. For Goldman’s bankers and investors, that is not abstract macro commentary. It suggests deal flow, financing and trading opportunities should keep clustering around the same theme driving the index.

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Still, the rally has not made the tape feel invincible. Bank of America shares were on track for a first new record closing high since January 6, 2026, and were up about 28.51% from a year earlier in mid-June. But on June 17, U.S. stocks fell as traders bet the Federal Reserve’s next move could be a rate hike, a reminder that the market mood can turn quickly even after a run of records. For Goldman, the internal challenge is now clear: the stock has moved into new territory, and the people inside the firm will be judged on whether the business can keep the same pace.

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