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AAA expects record 45 million Americans to travel for Memorial Day

Americans are set to travel in record numbers for Memorial Day even as gas and airfare stay elevated. AAA expects 45 million travelers, with driving still dominating.

Sarah Chen··2 min read
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AAA expects record 45 million Americans to travel for Memorial Day
Source: newsroom.aaa.com

Americans are heading into Memorial Day with one hand on the steering wheel and the other on their wallets. AAA projected that 45 million people would travel at least 50 miles from home during the holiday period from Thursday, May 21, through Monday, May 25, setting a new Memorial Day weekend record even as fuel and flight costs remain elevated.

The forecast marked a slight increase from last year’s 44.8 million travelers and topped AAA’s previous estimate of a record 44 million, which had stood from 2005. Of the 45 million travelers expected this year, 39.1 million planned to drive and 3.66 million planned to fly, underscoring how heavily the holiday still depends on road trips even when gasoline is expensive.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated illustration

The strength of the forecast points to a simple consumer priority: Americans are still protecting leisure travel. Memorial Day is the unofficial start of summer, and AAA travel officials said demand remains strong despite higher fuel prices. That suggests households may be absorbing some of the added cost rather than abandoning plans, especially for trips that have become a familiar seasonal ritual. The numbers also hint at pent-up demand that has not fully faded, with travel continuing to hold up even as broader household budgets remain under pressure.

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Air travel tells a different part of the same story. AAA said average ticket prices for flights were lower than last year for travelers who booked early, giving some consumers a narrow opportunity to offset higher costs elsewhere. But CBS News reported that the national average domestic airfare was about $383, up $89 from a year ago, while gas prices were up $1.42 per gallon from a year earlier. Together, those figures show why this summer is being shaped by what analysts have called vacation inflation: the cost of getting away is rising across the board.

Memorial Day Travelers
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Julian Kheel, founder and chief executive of Points Path, discussed the outlook on CBS News, where the broader message was clear. Americans are still traveling in record numbers, but the willingness to keep doing so in the face of pricier fuel and airfare suggests many households are making room for holidays first and sorting out the rest of their budgets later.

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